Wind Energy Prediction - R&D Workshop

May 11-12, 2010

Background

This workshop was held at the request of NOAA and DOE to learn about current wind energy related research and development activities of the Front Range.

Purpose

To review and discuss ongoing wind energy prediction related research and development activities being conducted at NCAR, NOAA, NREL, and by local university researchers. [Note: this was not intended to be a public meeting]

Agenda

Tuesday May 11
Session 1: Bill Mahoney (NCAR) – Facilitator
9:00 &ndash 9:10 Bill Mahoney (NCAR): Welcome, Introduction, Goals
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9:10 &ndash 9:25 Bill Mahoney (NCAR): NCAR's Wind Energy R&D Activities
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9:25 &ndash 9:45 Keith Parks (Xcel Energy): Xcel Energy's Wind Energy Program
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9:45 &ndash 10:10 Melinda Marquis (ESRL): NOAA's Wind Energy R&D Activities
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10:10 &ndash 10:35 Pat Moriarty (NREL): NREL's Wind Energy R&D Activities
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10:35 &ndash 10:45 Short Break
10:45 &ndash 11:10 Dave Johnson (NCAR): Xcel Energy Project Overview
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11:10 &ndash 11:35 Bill Myers (NCAR): Use of DICast® for Wind Energy
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11:35 &ndash 12:00 Gerry Wiener (NCAR): Wind to Energy Conversion Algorithm(s)
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12:00 &ndash 1:00 Lunch
Session 2: Yubao Liu (NCAR) – Facilitator
1:00 &ndash 1:25 Yih–huei Wan (NREL): Development of wind plan power curves
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1:25 &ndash 1:50 Tom Warner (NCAR): Modeling technologies: from global to building–aware models
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1:50 &ndash 2:15 Stan Benjamin (ESRL): Modeling & data assimilation activities at NOAA
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2:15 &ndash 2:40 Yubao Liu (NCAR): WRF–RTFDDA and Ensemble–RTFDDA modeling systems for Xcel wind prediction
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2:20 &ndash 3:05 Luca Delle Monache (NCAR): Development of Kalman Filter and Analog schemes to improve NWP model forecasts
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3:05 &ndash 3:20 Break
3:20 &ndash 3:45 Greg Roux (NCAR): Post–processing, display and bias analysis of Xcel RTFDDA model output
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3:45 &ndash 4:10 Will Cheng (NCAR): WRF–RTFDDA optimization and wind farm data assimilation
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4:10 &ndash 4:35 Yuewei Liu (NCAR): Statistical characteristics of winds at Xcel Energy wind farms: seasonal and spatial wind patterns
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4:35 &ndash 4:45 Bill Mahoney (NCAR): Wrap–up day 1
5:00 Adjourn for Day 1
Wednesday May 12
Session 3: Dave Johnson (NCAR) – Facilitator
9:00 &ndash 9:25 Jim Wilczak (ESRL) and/or Bob Banta: NOAA sensing systems and wind characterization
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9:25 &ndash 9:50 Rod Frehlich (CU & NCAR): Use of scanning Doppler lidar for wind characterization & data assimilation
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9:50 &ndash 10:15 Julie Lundquist (CU): Impact of boundary layer stability and turbulence on power generation
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10:15 &ndash 10:40 Ned Patton (NCAR): LES modeling for wind characterization
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10:40 &ndash 10:55 Break
10:55 &ndash 11:20 Yubao Liu (NCAR): WRF–RTFDDA–LES modeling of intra–farm wind variation and turbine level wind shear
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11:20 &ndash 11:45 Branko Kosovic (NCAR): Assessing WRF PBL schemes for wind energy applications
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11:45 &ndash 12:10 Pat Moriarity (NREL): Turbine Wake & Turbulence Modeling
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12:10 &ndash 1:10 Lunch
Session 4: Dave Johnson (NCAR) – Facilitator
1:10 &ndash 1:35 Alemu Tadesse (NCAR): Wind power ramp event – case analyses
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1:35 &ndash 2:00 Jenny Sun (NCAR): Variational Doppler Radar Assimilation System (VDRAS) for ramp prediction
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2:00 &ndash 2:25 Paul Bieringer (NCAR): Lagrangian Scalar Integration (LSI) for ramp prediction
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2:25 &ndash 2:50 Matt Pocernich (NCAR): Verification methods for ramp events
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2:50 &ndash 3:15 Amanda Hering (Mines): Space–time wind speed modeling Techniques
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3:15 &ndash 3:30 Break
3:30 &ndash 3:55 Betsy Weatherhead (CIRES–CU–NOAA): Solar energy prediction challenges and opportunities
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3:55 &ndash 4:20 Daran Rife (NCAR): Use of CFDDA for wind resource assessments
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4:20 &ndash 5:00 Bill Mahoney (NCAR): Wrap–up
5:00 Adjourn Workshop