Fine-Scale Analysis and Nowcast System (FINECAST®) is used by the research community to study... more
Accurate wind forecasts are crucial for power-grid integration and load balancing. Current wind-forecasting methods, which are primarily based on statistical algorithms that use wind-farm... more
As integration of solar power into the national electric grid rapidly increases, it becomes imperative to improve forecasting of this renewable resource. NCAR and a team of researchers from public... more
In late December 2008,... more
The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model is a next-generation mesoscale numerical weather prediction system designed to serve both atmospheric research and operational... more
The Dynamic Integrated foreCast (DICast®) system is tasked with ingesting meteorological data (observations, models, statistical data, climate data, etc.) and producing meteorological forecasts at... more
GRAFS (GRidded Atmospheric Forecast System) is a software system that is designed to... more
Two new postprocessing methods are proposed to reduce numerical weather prediction’s systematic and random errors. The first method consists of running a postprocessing algorithm inspired by the... more
Although there has been a substantial, long-term effort by the weather research community to improve precipitation prediction, little attention has been paid to the prediction of clouds and... more
Improved weather prediction and precise spatial analysis of small-scale weather events are crucial for energy management, as is the need to further develop and implement advanced... more
Real-time ensemble RTFDDA forecasting system combines real-time WRF-based FDDA technologies and a probabilistic forecast calibration technology for producing reliable real-time probabilistic wind/... more
RTFDDA-LES extends real-world numerical weather prediction to large-eddy-simulation (LES) scales, with grid sizes down to ~30m. The NCAR WRF-based RTFDDA system is formulated for simultaneously... more
As part of NASA and NREL funded projects, a new method has been proposed and demonstrated for the long-term estimate of the wind speeds at a target site, a key step in wind resource assessments (... more
FastEddy limited area domain simulation with the cell perturbation method for resolved turbulence instigation (top) versus a periodic domain reference simulation (bottom). This feature allows... more
WRF-Solar® EPSWRF-Solar® V2MAD-WRF
OverviewWRF-Solar® is the first numerical weather prediction model specifically designed to meet the growing demand for specialized... more
NCAR’s Renewable Energy Forecasting for Kuwait project, a 3-year, $5.1M project sponsored by the Kuwait Institute for Scientific Research (KISR) (https://news.ucar.edu/126802/ncar-develop-advanced... more
WRF-Solar® EPSWRF-Solar® V2MAD-WRF
A solar irradiance nowcasting system to support the Group on Earth Observations (GEO) Vision for EnergyA GEO Vision for Energy (GEO-VENER)... more
WRF-Solar® EPSWRF-Solar® V2MAD-WRF
NCAR developed an enhanced version of the Weather Research and Forecasting model – WRF-Solar® model to improve forecasting of solar... more
WRF-SolarWRF-Solar® V2MAD-WRF
The WRF-Solar® model (Jimenez et al. 2016) is a specific configuration and augmentation of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model.... more