Climate Analysis
Climate projections and their uncertainties

Climate Analysis
Climate projections and their uncertainties
Climate Analysis work includes:
- Wintertime precipitation
- Tropical easterly waves
- Snow analysis
- Differential credibility
- Climate Mitigation
Publications
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A mechanistically credible, poleward shift in warm-season precipitation projected for the US Southern Great Plains?
Description
Bukovsky, M. S., R. R. McCrary, A. Seth, and L. O. Mearns, 2017: A mechanistically credible, poleward shift in warm-season precipitation projected for the US Southern Great Plains? Journal of Climate, 30(20), 8275-8298, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0316.1.
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Quantifying and diagnosing sources of uncertainty in midcentury changes in North American snowpack from NARCCAP
Description
McCrary, R. R., and L. O. Mearns, 2019: Quantifying and diagnosing sources of uncertainty in midcentury changes in North American snowpack from NARCCAP. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 20(11), 2229-2252. https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-18-0248.1.
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Toward assessing NARCCAP regional climate model credibility for the North American monsoon: future climate simulations
Description
Bukovsky, M. S., C. M. Carrillo, D. J. Gochis, D. M. Hammerling, R. R. McCrary, and L. O. Mearns, 2015: Toward assessing NARCCAP regional climate model credibility for the North American monsoon: future climate simulations. Journal of Climate, 28(17), 6707-6728. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00695.1.
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An assessment of tropical cyclones in North American CORDEX WRF simulations
Description
Rendfrey, T. S., M. S. Bukovsky, R. R. McCrary, and R. Fuentes-Franco, 2021: An assessment of tropical cyclones in North American CORDEX WRF simulations. Weather and Climate Extremes, 34, 100382. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2021.100382.
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Projections of North American snow from NA-CORDEX and their uncertainties, with a focus on model resolution
Description
McCrary, R. R., L. O. Mearns, M. Hughes, S. Biner., and M. S. Bukovsky, 2022: Projections of North American snow from NA-CORDEX and their uncertainties, with a focus on model resolution. Climatic Change, 170(3), 1-25. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-021-03294-8.