Benefits and Impacts

Testing + Evaluation

Solution Areas

For Precision ForecastingAccording to the National Climatic Center, over the last 10 years, the United States has been battered by costly hurricanes incurring a price tag of more than $347 billion. Forecasting their strength and arrival along with predicting their path and is critically important information for people to prepare and evacuate, if necessary. Scientists at NCAR are providing invaluable support to NOAA’s Hurricane Forecast Improvement Program (HFIP), to improve the accuracy and reliability of hurricane forecasts; extending lead time for hurricane forecasts with more certainty; and to increase confidence in hurricane forecasts.This accuracy depends on our independent, testing and evaluation of models based on criteria provided by the operations side.

Developing a State-of-the-Art Research and Operational Weather Forecasting Model

The model serves a wide range of meteorological applications across scales from tens of meters to thousands of kilometers. WRF has thousands of users around the world.

Evaluating Model Forecast Performance

Evaluating Model Forecast Performance

This capability is used by hundreds of researchers and developers globally across the weather enterprise (public, private, and academic) and is helping to accelerate the adoption of weather prediction technology improvements.

Tropical Cyclone off Brazil Courtesy of NASA To Flee or not to Flee? Online access to retrospective and demonstration model evaluations to allow wider dissemination to the hurricane community. A Category 2... more