RAL at AMS 103rd Annual Meeting
Data: Driving Science. Informing Decisions. Enriching Humanity.

conference
Jan. 8 to Jan. 12, 2023
6:00 am – 5:00 pm MST
Denver and Online
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About
The 103rd AMS Annual Meeting will take place from 8 to 12 January, 2023 in Denver, Colorado at the Colorado Convention Center and online. The theme is Data: Driving Science. Informing Decisions. Enriching Humanity.
We're excited to continue our participation and hope you can join us! #AMS2023
Sunday, 8 Jan 2023
- Evaluating an Ensemble-Based Statistical Model for Predicting the Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones, Brittany Lazzaro, 18:30-20:00 MST, Hall A Speaker
Monday, 9 Jan 2023
- Session 1A An Integrated Approach to Modeling, Observations and Prediction of Water Availability I, Tim Schneider, 08:30-10:00 MST, Mile High Ballroom 1EF (Ballroom Level) Co-Chair
- Co-producing Actionable Climate Science for Wildland Fire Operations and Policy, Lee Kessenich, 08:45-09:00 MST, Colorado Convention Center 501 Speaker
- A Novel Microphysical Model of Mixed-Phase Cloud Processes: Lagrangian Particle Based Direct Numerical Simulation Method, Sisi Chen, 08:45-09:00 MST, Colorado Convention Center - 207 Speaker
- Development of Historical and Future Hydroclimate Ensemble Datasets for Water Resources Planning in the US Pacific Northwest, Naoki Mizukami, 09:00-09:15 MST, Colorado Convention Center - Mile High Ballroom 1EF (Ballroom Level) Speaker
- 1A.5 - An Integrated Science Plan for a Regional Hydroclimate Project over the United States, Tim Schneider, 09:30-09:45 MST, Mile High Ballroom 1EF (Ballroom Level) Speaker
- A Model-Based Detection Algorithm for the Chesapeake Bay Breeze, Patrick Hawbecker, 09:45-10:00 MST, 504 Speaker
- 37th Conference on Hydrology: Session 1A - An Integrated Approach to Modeling, Observations and Prediction of Water Availability I: 1A.6 - The GEWEX Land-Atmosphere Feedback Observatory (GLAFO), Michael EK, 09:45-10:00 MST, Colorado Convention Center - Mile High Ballroom 1EF Speaker
- Advancements in Wildland Fire Risk Assessment, Behavior Modeling, and Prediction, Bill Mahoney, 11:00-11:15 MST, Colorado Convention Center, Room 709 Panelist
- Design of a Cloud-Based Forecasting Framework to Facilitate Needs of Under-Resourced Communities, David Hahn, 11:15-11:30 MST, 610/612 Speaker
- Town Hall Meeting - Indigenous and Earth Systems Science Collaborations for Co-Creating Knowledge: Panel Discussion and Social Gathering, Tim Schneider, 12:15-13:15 MST, 107 (Meeting Room Level) Panelist
- Weather and Roads I & II, Amanda Siems-Anderson, 13:30-17:00 MST, 304 Co-Chair
- An Evaluation of Machine Learning Models Predicting Roadway Friction Coefficient" -- 39th Conference on Environmental Information Processing Technmologies, Thomas Brummet, 14:00-14:15 MST, 304 Speaker
- 24th Symposium on Boundary Layers and Turbulence (24BLT): Session 3B - Surface-Atmosphere Exchanges and Feedbacks II: 3B.4 - Local Land-Atmosphere Interaction: Exploring the Terrestrial Leg with “Little Omega”, Michael EK, 14:15-14:30 MST, Colorado Convention Center - 504 Speaker
- Evaluation of a High Ice Water Content (HIWC) Nowcasting Product by Prospective Users, Julie Haggerty, 14:15-14:30 MST, Mile High Ballroom 1CD Speaker
- Using roadside camera imagery with speed/volume/occupancy telemetry data in a hybrid deep learning system to identify road surface conditions, Bill Petzke, 14:15-14:30 MST, 304 Speaker
- A New Process-Oriented Ensemble Hydrological Prediction System for Flood Prediction and Water Management in the US Pacific Northwest, Andrew Wood, 15:45-16:00 MST, 1EF Speaker
- Energy Efficient Autonomous Vehicle Operation During Various Weather Conditions, Curtis Walker, 16:00-16:15 MST, Colorado Convention Center - 304 Speaker
- An Agile Benchmark Testing Framework for RRFS Prototypes to Facilitate Future Operational Implementation, Michael Kavulich, 16:30-16:45 MST, 708 Speaker
- Using ARM Observations and the Common Community Physics Packaged Single Column Model to Advance PBL Understanding and Parameterizations / 13th Conference on Transition of Research to Operations, Lulin Xue, 17:00-18:30 MST, Colorado Convention Center - Hall A Poster
- Continental-Scale Trend Analysis of Water and Energy Cycles from the Forty Year High Resolution CONUS404 Simulation: Precipitation, ET, Runoff, Temperature, and Solar Irradiance, Ju-Hye Kim, 17:00-18:30 MST, Colorado Convention Center - Hall A Poster
- Impacts of Assimilating SMAP Soil Moisture Retrievals into WRF-Chem on the Simulation of Dust Outbreaks Over the Southwestern U.S., Jared Lee, 17:00-18:30 MST, Colorado Convention Center - Hall A Poster
- Poster Session An Integrated Approach to Modeling, Observations and Prediction of Water Availability II , Tim Schneider, 17:00-18:30 MST, Hall A (Exhibit Hall Level) Co-Chair
Tuesday, 10 Jan 2023
- Toward Hydrologically Useful and Actionable Climate and Weather Model Output: Development, Evaluation, and Applications of Downscaling and Bias Correction Methods, Ethan Gutmann, 08:30-11:15 MST, 405 Chair
- A Physically-Based, Mass-Conserving Precipitation Downscaling Technique to Improve Water Resource Prediction from Global Climate Models, Alex Rugg, 08:45-09:00 MST, 405 Speaker
- Alamosa Gap-Filling Radar Effects on Streamflow in the National Water Model, Joe Grim, 11:30-11:45 MST, Colorado Convention Center 405 Speaker
- Roger Pielke Sr. Symposium/Session 7 - Climate Variability and Change, Christopher Rozoff, 13:30-15:00 MST, Mile High Ballroom 2A/3A Co-Chair
- Improving the Prediction of Precipitation, Snowpack and Streamflow in Mountainous Basins through Ensemble-Based Variable-Complexity Watershed Modeling, Andrew Wood, 13:45-14:00 MST, 405 Speaker
- Future Changes in Mesoscale Convective System Rainfall Caused by Changes in Convective and Stratiform Structure, Erin Dougherty, 14:15-14:30 MST, Mile High Ballroom 1EF Speaker
- Aerosol Indirect Effects on Idealized Tropical Cyclone Simulations Using a WRF Piggybacking Framework / 13th Conference on Transition of Research to Operations, Lulin Xue, 14:30-14:45 MST, Colorado Convention Center - 708 Speaker
- 8B.1 - Developmental Testbed Center: Current Status and Outlook for the Future, Louisa Nance, 15:45-16:00 MST, Colorado Convention Center - 708 Speaker
- The Model Evaluation Tools (MET) at the core of METplus - Recent Additions and Enhancements, John Halley Gotway, 16:00-16:15 MST, Colorado Convention Center - 708 Speaker
- METplus: A Conduit for Community Contribution to R2O Testing and Evaluation, Tara Jensen, 16:15-16:30 MST, 708 Speaker
- A Preliminary Evaluation of the Terminal Area Icing Diagnosis and Forecasting Capability, Darcy Jacobson, 16:15-16:30 MST, Mile High Ballroom 1CD Speaker
- Transitioning Research Innovations into the Unified Forecast System Hurricane Application, Kathryn Newman, 16:30-16:45 MST, 708 Speaker
- Expanding Ceilometer Capabilities for Use in the Terminal Area Icing Weather Information for NextGen Capability, Joshua Lave, 16:30-16:45 MST, Colorado Convention Center - Mile High Ballroom 1CD Speaker
- Modernizing the community open-source Noah-MP land surface model with enhanced modularity, interoperability, and applicability, Cenlin He, 16:30-16:45 MST, 603 Speaker
- Continuous Testing of METplus Use Cases Using Docker and GitHub Actions, George McCabe, 16:45-17:00 MST, 603 Speaker
- Examination of Future Changes in Snowfall, Snow Water Equivalent, and Runoff over California in a Warming Climate Using the Intermediate Complexity Atmospheric Research Model., Rachel McCrary, 17:00-18:30 MST, Colorado Convention Center - Hall A Poster
- Regional uncertainty in future climate predictions due to regional process uncertainties, Ethan Gutmann, 17:00-18:30 MST, Poster hall A Poster
- Storm structure and precipitation features of RELAMPAGO IOP17 simulated by WRF in high resolution / Third Symposium on Mesoscale Processes, Lulin Xue, 17:00-18:30 MST, Colorado Convention Center - Hall A Poster
- 828 - Expanding Capabilities in Space Weather Verification Using METplus / Poster Session Space Weather Poster II, Jonathan Vigh, 17:00-18:30 MST, Colorado Convention Center - Hall A Poster
- "U.S. Pacific Northwest Extreme Precipitation Events in Bias-Corrected and Downscaled CMIP6 Simulations" / Toward Hydrologically Useful and Actionable Climate and Weather Model Output III, Abigail Smith, 17:00-18:30 MST, Colorado Convention Center - Hall A Poster
- Testing and Evaluation of Scalability and Gravity Wave Drag Processes in the Unified Forecast System, Brianne Nelson, 17:00-18:30 MST, Colorado Convention Center - Hall A Poster
- Quasi-Dynamical Downscaling with ICAR over High Mountain Asia/Toward Hydrologically Useful and Actionable Climate and Weather Model Output: Development, Evaluation, and Applications of Downscaling and Bias Correction Methods III, Trude Eidhammer, 17:00-18:30 MST, Colorado Convention Center - Hall A (Exhibit Hall Level) Poster
Wednesday, 11 Jan 2023
- Joint Session J13 - Leveraging Commercial Industry in Engineering Resilient Communities for a Weather-Ready Nation, Jonathan Vigh, 08:30-10:00 MST, Colorado Convention Center - 601 Panelist
- Advances in Data Assimilation, Verification, and Communicating of Probabilistic Forecasts of Aviation Weather Hazards, Tara Jensen, 08:30-11:00 MST, Mile High Ballroom 1CD Co-Chair
- Solar Forecasting, Jared Lee, 08:30-10:00 MST, Colorado Convention Center - 404 Co-Chair
- Post-Processing of CMAQ forecast for Improving Air Quality Predictions, Stefano Alessandrini, 09:15-09:30 MST, 103/105 Speaker
- Utility and Distributed PV Power Forecasting for New York State with NYSolarCast, Jared Lee, 09:15-09:30 MST, Colorado Convention Center - 404 Speaker
- Advances in R2O & O2R in Analysis and Forecasting That Link Research and Operations to Forecasters’ Needs II: Operational Forecasting and Predictability, Tara Jensen, 10:45-12:00 MST, 708 Co-Chair
- Solar Resource Assessment, Jared Lee, 10:45-12:00 MST, Colorado Convention Center - 404 Co-Chair
- The Role of Fire Spotting in Fire-Weather Prediction, Second Symposium on Community Modeling and Innovation, Maria Frediani, 11:15-11:30 MST, 10A.3 Speaker
- Development of a Roadway Flood Severity Index, Curtis Walker, 11:30-11:45 MST, Colorado Convention Center - Mile High Ballroom 1EF Speaker
- Session 11A - Process-Based Testing and Evaluation of Weather and Climate Models, Louisa Nance, 13:30-15:00 MST, Colorado Convention Center - 603 Co-Chair
- A Community Verification and Diagnostic Framework for Statistical and Process-based Testing and Evaluation, Tara Jensen, 13:30-13:45 MST, 603 Speaker
- NCAR’s Prototype Current Icing Product (CIP) and Forecast Icing Product (FIP): Results from Winter 2021-2022, Dan Adriaansen, 13:45-14:00 MST, Mile High Ballroom 1CD (Ballroom Level) Speaker
- Formulation, Validation, and Performance Benchmarks of the FastEddyTM GPU-accelerated LES Model, Jeremy Sauer, 14:00-14:15 MST, Colorado Convention Center - 504 (Meeting Room Level) Poster
- High Ice Water Content and Supercooled Large Drops in Wintertime Convection; 23rd Conference on Aviation, Range, and Aerospace Meteorology, Alex Rugg, 14:15-14:30 MST, Mile High Ballroom 1CD Speaker
- Cloud Representation in the Marine Boundary Layer Using the Common Community Physics Packaged (CCPP) Single Column Model (SCM), Tracy Hertneky, 14:30-14:45 MST, Colorado Convention Center - 708 Speaker
- Development and verification of a radar-based freezing rain top/depth algorithm, David Serke, 14:45-15:00 MST, Mile High Ballroom 1CD Speaker
- Comparative Forecast Verification: Testing the Frequency of Better, Eric Gilleland, 15:45-17:00 MST, Colorado Convention Center - 603 Speaker
- Community Tools for Testing and Evaluation of Weather and Climate Models, Kathryn Newman, 15:45-17:00 MST, 603 Co-Chair
- Session 12A - Community Tools for Testing and Evaluation of Weather and Climate Models, Louisa Nance, 15:45-17:00 MST, Colorado Convention Center - 603 Co-Chair
- The Use of METplus to Inform Forecasters of Model Biases and Forecast Consistencies, Tara Jensen, 15:45-16:00 MST, 708 Speaker
- Machine Learning Applications in the Energy Sector, Jared Lee, 15:45-17:00 MST, Colorado Convention Center - 102 Co-Chair
- Machine Learning Applications in the Energy Sector, Sue Ellen Haupt, 15:45-17:00 MST, Colorado Convention Center - 102 (Meeting Room Level) Co-Chair
- 12.2 - Using Global Ensembles to Assess Spatially Varying Probabilities of Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification / Session 12 - Tropical cyclone intensity and structure (IV), Jonathan Vigh, 16:00-16:15 MST, Colorado Convention Center - 503 Speaker
- Configuring the Model Evaluation Tools' Method for Object-based Diagnostic Evaluation - Time Domain Tool for Numerical Weather Prediction Evaluation, Amanda Siems-Anderson, 16:00-16:15 MST, 603 Speaker
- Effects of NWP-Based Large Scale Forcing on Real-Case LES: Statistical Analysis of Multi-Year LASSO LES of Shallow Convective Clouds, Hyeyum (Hailey) Shin, 17:00-18:30 MST, Colorado Convention Center - Hall A (Exhibit Hall Level) Poster
- Revisiting Modeling Sensitivities of Non-Precipitating Shallow Cumulus Clouds with FastEddy®, Jeremy Sauer, 17:00-18:30 MST, Colorado Convention Center - Hall A (Exhibit Hall Level) Poster
Thursday, 12 Jan 2023
- Recent results of US DOE's Mesoscale to Microscale Coupling Project, Sue Ellen Haupt, 09:15-09:30 MST, Convention Center - 502 Speaker
- Scenario-based COMET Training for Careers in the Weather, Water and Climate Industry, Curtis Walker, 10:00-10:15 MST, Colorado Convention Center - Mile High Ballroom 1AB Speaker
- Comparison of CAMS and CMAQ Forecasts of PM2.5 and Ozone Over CONUS, Jared Lee, 10:45-11:00 MST, Colorado Convention Center - 103/105 Speaker
- Machine learning to enhance boundary layer modeling capabilities, Sue Ellen Haupt, 11:00-11:15 MST, Convention Center - 502 Keynote
- Weather Hazards for Advanced Air Mobility Operations in the Upper Class E Airspace – A Look at the Recent Airbus Zephyr Demise, Matthias Steiner, 11:45-12:00 MST, Colorado Convention Center - Mile High Ballroom 1CD Speaker
- Projected Changes in Inter-Regional Simultaneity of Megafires in the Western US Based on NA-CORDEX Regional Climate Simulations, Seth McGinnis, 11:45-12:00 MST, Colorado Convention Center - 501 (Meeting Room Level) Speaker
- Other Topics Related to Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy I, Jared Lee, 13:45-15:00 MST, Colorado Convention Center - 404 Co-Chair
- Improving streamflow predictions using coupled WRF-Hydro and DART/NCAR's Data Assimilation Research Testbed: Twenty Years of Driving Scientific Inquiry with Ensemble Data Assimilation III, Arezoo RafieeiNasab, 14:00-14:30 MST, 505 Speaker
- Cloud-top generating cells formation and precipitation impacts in high resolution WRF simulations of two SNOWIE cases / 15th Symposium on Aerosol-Cloud-Climate Interactions, Lulin Xue, 14:15-14:30 MST, Colorado Convention Center - 203 Speaker
- Evaluation of the Impact of Winter Orographic Cloud Seeding over the Snowy Mountains of Australia, Sisi Chen, 14:45-15:00 MST, Colorado Convention Center - Mile High Ballroom 1EF Speaker
- Comparing the Observed and Simulated Organization and Vertical Structure of Shallow Convection in an intense Marine Cold-Air Outbreak during COMBLE, Christian Lackner, 16:30-16:45 MST, 207 Speaker
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