AMS 101st Annual Meeting
RAL AMS Schedule Lineup

7:00 am – 4:00 pm MST
RAL AMS Schedule Lineup (MST)
Strengthening engagement with communities through our science and service
Sunday, January 10, 2021 (MST)
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Understanding and Reducing Weather and Climate Risks
Olga Wilhelmi, Speaker, 11 AM - Annual Student Conference - Breakout Session, Expand Your Horizon: Nontraditional Jobs in the Geosciences
Olga Wilhelmi, Panelist, 11 AM
Monday, January 11, 2021 (MST)
- Climate Change Impacts on Energy
Sue Ellen Haupt, Moderator / Organizer, 8 AM - The Common Community Physics Package (CCPP): a shared infrastructure for model physics for operations and research
Dom Heinzeller, Speaker, 8:10 AM - A Community Effort to Unify Verification and Validation Efforts—Upcoming Metrics Workshop
Tara Jensen, Speaker, 8:15 AM -
Advancing Atmospheric and Surface Process Understanding through Modeling and Observations in High-Altitude Complex Terrain
Ethan Gutmann, Session Chair, 11 AM - Session 2 SMOI: Intercomparison and Calibration of Instrumentation
Darcy Jacobson, Session Chair, 11 AM - Solar Forecast Improvement Projects
Jared Lee, Session Chair, 11 AM - Overview of the Unified Forecast System Short-Range Weather (SRW) Application Release
Jamie Wolff, Speaker, 11:15 AM - Improving the WRF-Solar Ensemble Prediction System using Analog Ensemble technique
Ju-Hye Kim, Speaker, 11:20 AM - Recent advances of the MAD-WRF nowcasting system
Pedro Jimenez, Speaker, 11:25 AM - Performance of AOD Forecasts over the Middle East
Jared Lee, Speaker, 11:40 AM - Impact of vegetation canopy-wind treatment on mountain snowpack modeling in the western U.S.
Cenlin He, Poster, 12 PM - Advancing Atmospheric and Surface Process Understanding through Modeling and Observations in High-Altitude Complex Terrain
Ethan Gutmann, Session Chair, 12 PM - Gray Zone Simulations over the Columbia River Gorge using a Three-Dimensional Planetary Boundary Layer Parameterization
Timothy Juliano, Poster, 12 PM - Analysis of Horizontal Shear and Mixing at Gray Zone Length Scales Using Filtered Large-Eddy Simulation of a Flow over Complex Terrain
Branko Kosovic, Poster, 12 AM - All Aspects of Observations, Including New Observations, Physical Parameterizations, Measurement Uncertainties, Challenges of Working with Imperfect Measurements, and Data Visualization
Joshua Lave, Session Chair, 1:30 PM - A New GEWEX Regional Hydroclimate Project: Understanding the Water & Energy Cycles of the Continental United States in the Anthropocene
Timothy Schneider, Speaker, 2:05 PM - CCPP Single-column Model: Annual Update
Grant Firl, Speaker, 2:15 PM
Tuesday, January 12, 2021 (MST)
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Dan D'Amico, Speaker, 8:45 AM
- Evaluating Model Physics in the Unified Forecast System (UFS) in the Medium-Range Weather Application
Michelle Harrold, Speaker, 8:40 AM - Investigation of Land-Atmosphere Interactions in the Unified Forecast System Short Range Weather (UFS-SRW) Application
Kathryn Newman, Speaker, 8:55 AM - Investigating the Scalability of Convective and Microphysics Parameterizations in the Unified Forecast System Short-Range Weather (UFS-SRW) Application
Michelle Harrold, Speaker, 9:20 AM - Developing a Space Weather Verification System Using METplus
Tara Jensen, Speaker, 11:30 AM - Automated Identification of Drylines in the US Using Multivariate MODE
Lindsay Blank, Speaker, 11:50 AM - Satellite-Based Verification of a Mesoscale and Global Numerical Weather Prediction Model's Representation of Clouds In and Around the Continental United States
Christopher Rozoff, Speaker, 11:55 AM - An overview of the WRF-Solar Ensemble Prediction System
Pedro Jimenez, Poster, 12 PM - On the Radiative Impact of Incorporating Black Carbon Aerosol into WRF-Solar
Timothy Juliano, Poster, 12 PM - Comparison of Imposed Aerosol Forecasts in WRF-Solar Clear-Sky Irradiance Forecasts
Jared Lee, Poster, 12 PM - The Utility of Multiple ET Products in Evaluating and Optimizing the LIS/WRF-Hydro Model
Amir Mazrooei, Poster, 12 PM - Sensitivity Study of 1-km WRF Configurations and Aerosol Loading on Convective Initiation over the Al Hajar Mountains
Jared Lee, Speaker, 2:50 PM
Wednesday, January 13, 2021 (MST)
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Forecasting Upper-Level Turbulence for Aviation Using Machine Learning Techniques
Domingo Muñoz-Esparza, Speaker, 11:15 AM - Convection Nowcasting Products Available at the Army Test and Evaluation Command Ranges
Scott Ellis, Poster, 12 PM - Impact of Agriculture Management Practices on the National Water Model Simulated Streamflow
Prasanth Valayamkunnath, Poster, 12 PM - The Community WRF-Hydro Modeling System Version 5.2 Advancements and New Community Aimed Modeling Testbed
Molly McAllister, Poster, 12 PM - Probabilistic Forecasts of Global Convective Weather Aviation Hazards
Ken Stone, Poster, 12 PM -
Application of chaff detection to operational dual-polarization weather radar near ranges
Dave Serke, Poster, 12 PM - Joint Session (ARAM/SMOI/EIPT) UAS Sensing Technology Development and its Use in Developing Weather Guidance for Manned and Unmanned Flight
James Pinto and Domingo Muñoz-Esparza, Session Chair, 1:30 PM - Supporting Urban Air Mobility Operations with Building-Resolving Simulations: Weather Sensitivities of Fine-Scale Urban Flows
Shin Hyeyum (Hailey), Speaker, 2:10 PM -
Impact of UAS Data Assimilation on WRF LES Predictions of Winds and Turbulence Needed to Support UAS Flight Planning
James Pinto, Speaker, 2:15 PM - Benchmarking and Retirement - Making Room for the UFS Rapid Refresh Forecast System
Jamie Wolff, Speaker, 2:20 PM
Thursday, January 14, 2021 (MST)
- Icing Hazard Research Advancements and In-Cloud ICing and Large-drop Experiment (ICICLE) Results
Julie Haggerty, Session Chair, 8:30 AM - A Machine Learning Odyssey through the Earth System
David John Gange, Invited Presentation, Core Science Keynote, 8:40 AM - Dual-polarization Radar Icing Algorithm(RadIA): Verification with ICICLE Research Flights
Dave Serke, Poster, 8:45 AM - Correlating Particle Sizes Between the Surface and Aloft During ICICLE
Darcy Jacobson, Speaker, 9:05 AM - Improving Terminal Area Supercooled Large Drop Detection Utilizing Raw Ceilometer Backscatter Profiles Obtained during the ICICLE Flight Campaign
Joshua Lave, Speaker, 9:10 AM - Advancements in the Analysis and Prediction of Turbulence for Aviation, Range and Aerospace Operations, Part I
Robert Sharman, Speaker (Keynote Speaker), 11 AM and 2 PM - Co-chairing ARAM special session in honor of Bob Sharman, Part I
Matthias Steiner, Co-chairing, 11 AM and 2 PM - Joint 11 Ninth Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise - How Can Enterprise Meet Societal Needs Related to Wildland Fire, Water, and Weather?
Branko Kosovic, Session Chair, 11 AM - Session Co-Chair: Joint 11 - The Unified Forecast System - The Next Generataion Community-Based Modelling System to Advance Numerical Weather Prediction
Christopher Rozoff, Session Chair, 11 AM - A Modeling System for Tactically and Strategically Managing Wildfires
Jason Knievel, Speaker, 11:35 AM - Toward Improving the Clutter Mitigation Decision Algorithm in the WSR-88D Radars
Scott Ellis, Speaker, 11:45 AM - Diagnosing Hurricane Track Errors in the UFS Short-Range Weather Application (SRW)
Nicholas Lybarger, Poster, 12 PM - Case Studies showing the improvements to the Graphical Turbulence Guidance Nowcast (GTGN) Algorithm due to higher resolution inputs
Julia Pearson, Poster, 12 PM - Comparison of Ensemble Generation Methods for Global Probabilistic Turbulence Forecasts using the Graphical Turbulence Guidance (GTG) System
Shin Hyeyum (Hailey), Poster, 12 PM - Weather and Roads – Strengthening Engagements with Communities
Amanda Siems-Anderson, Session Chair, 2 PM - Advancements in the Analysis and Prediction of Turbulence for Aviation, Range and Aerospace Operations, Part II
Robert Sharman, Speaker (Keynote Speaker), 11 AM and 2 PM - Co-chairing ARAM special session in honor of Bob Sharman, Part II
Matthias Steiner, Co-chairing, 11 AM and 2 PM - Blending NWP and AI Approaches to Optimize Renewable Energy Forecasting
Sue Ellen Haupt, Speaker, 2:10 PM - Will Weather Dampen Self-Driving Vehicles?
Curtis Walker, Speaker, 2:10 PM - Advancements in METplus Verification and Diagnostic Capability for Short-Term Forecast Evaluation
Tara Jensen, Speaker, 2:20 PM - Explicitly Simulating Snow Spatial Variability at Scale to Improve Predictions
Ethan Gutmann, Speaker, 2:30 PM - Aviation turbulence forecasting: future directions and research needs
Bob Sharman, Speaker, 2:30 PM - Wind Regime Identification Using Self-Organizing Maps for the Kuwait Region
Steven Naegele, Speaker, 2:40 PM - Streamlining Candidate Model Evaluation through a Unified Verification, Validation, and Diagnostics Framework—METplus
Tara Jensen, Speaker, 2:55 PM
Friday, January 15, 2021 (MST)
- Session Chair: (ACCI) Changes in Precipitation related to Anthropogenic Aerosol
Sarah Tessendorf, Session Chair, 8 AM - How Susceptible Are Large U.S. River Basins to Widespread Flooding?
Manuela Brunner, Speaker, 8:15 AM - Fostering National and International Collaboration through a Unified Verification, Validation, and Diagnostics Framework—METplus
Tara Jensen, Speaker, 8:20 AM - Quantifying the Impacts of Cloud Seeding Using WRF-WxMod Ensemble Simulations and SNOWIE Observations
Lulin Xue, Speaker, 8:35 AM
- Numerical investigation of the influence of hygroscopic flare seeding on the droplet size distribution in southeast Queensland
Chen Sisi, Speaker, 8:50 AM - AMS panel: Ninth Symposium on the Weather, Water, and Climate Enterprise (WWCE) on Metrics connecting earth system processes to useful predictions
Mike Ek, Panel Member, 11 AM - Assessing Bias Correction Sensitivities from HRRR Non-Precipitation Forcing Fields for the National Water Model configuration of WRF-Hydro
Jospeh Grim, Speaker, 11:25 AM - A Meteorological Forcing Engine for Hydrology: Descriptions and Applications
Yongxin Zhang, Poster, 12 PM -
A new ensemble-based hydrometeorological modeling resource for US water applications
Andy Wood, Oral Chair, 12 PM