Convective Wind Shear

Wind Shear Detection and Alerting

Microburst - Aviation Hazard

Low-level wind shear has been identified as a cause or contributing factor in a significant number of aviation accidents. Since 1943, wind shear accidents are estimated to have been responsible for more than 1400 fatalities worldwide, including over 400 deaths in the United States during the 1973-1985 period. Research in the late nineteen seventies through the early nineteen nineties, revealed that an intense localized weather phenomenon called a microburst is the most hazardous type of wind shear. A microburst is characterized by precipitation falling below cloud base, a descending shaft of air, and an intense divergence of the horizontal wind field at the surface. The diverging pattern of the wind field is particularly hazardous since an aircraft encountering the microburst will initially experience a strong headwind, quickly followed by a tailwind with its associated loss of lift. The significance of the hazard, and number of lives lost, led to the development and deployment of a number of wind shear and microburst detection systems.

Low-level wind shear and turbulence can also be caused by rough terrain. Air flowing around mountains, hills, valleys, and manmade obstructions can cause wind shear and turbulence in both clear air and cloudy conditions. Under certain meteorological conditions, the terrain-induced wind shear and turbulence can be strong enough to pose a hazard to aviation requiring the need for a wind shear and turbulence detection solution.

Wind Shear Detection Systems

Several different commercial off-the-shelf technologies are used around the world for wind shear detection. These include:

  • Doppler Weather Radar
  • Doppler Lidar
  • Low-Level Windshear Alert System (LLWAS)
  • Wind Profiler and Sodar

While there are a number of commercial wind shear and turbulence detection technologies available today, it is essential to understand exactly what is happening meteorologically at an airport before selecting and installing wind shear detection equipment as each system has special capabilities and limitations.

Commercial versions of four of the systems above have been specifically designed to alert air traffic control tower controllers to specific wind shear conditions based on the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) wind shear detection system alerting strategy, as implemented by the FAA’s Terminal Doppler Weather Radar (TDWR) and LLWAS. The sensing systems that are ‘compliant’ with the automatic alerting strategy of the FAA systems include the TWDR, LLWAS, Doppler Weather Radar (specific manufacturers), and Doppler Lidar (specific manufactures).

Doppler lidars can observe wind patterns in clear air, but are not effective in low visibility conditions (e.g., low clouds and fog) and during precipitation. Lidars are very effective in measuring clear-air wind features and hence are used by themselves or in combination with other sensors to measure clear air terrain-induced wind shear and turbulence.

Winds that vary with altitude can be monitored effectively with a microwave wind profiler and/or sodar, but these systems are vertically pointing devices with comparatively long averaging times and rather slow update rates that aren’t appropriate for monitoring the rapidly changing horizontal wind patterns associated with gust fronts and microbursts.

While virtually all microbursts appear to be initiated by convective activity and precipitation, wind shear can still be a serious hazard without major thunderstorms and without precipitation reaching the ground. This type of wind shear event is often called a ‘dry’ microburst. Dry microbursts can be just as strong as convectively induced microbursts with precipitation and they can be more dangerous because there are fewer visual clues of the wind shear for pilots.

Wind Shear System Procurement

NCAR wind shear experts provide scientific and technical consultancy services to private organizations and governments around the world to help them understand airport specific wind shear and turbulence conditions and procure wind shear detection systems.

The consultancy services include identifying the exposure to wind shear, providing technical information on wind shear detection system solutions, siting systems, training aviation personnel on the impacts of wind shear on aviation, preparing technical specifications for wind shear systems, supporting the tendering process, and assisting with the implementation of wind shear detection solutions.

NCAR’s Research Applications Laboratory (RAL) has over thirty years of experience in system development and technology transfer. NCAR/RAL has successfully developed and transferred to operations weather decision support technologies to the aviation community around the world. 

NCAR/RAL has extensive experience in aviation weather. This experience in aviation weather has emphasized:

  • Expert knowledge in aviation weather science
  • The development of aviation weather decision support systems that make weather information easy to use in operational environments
  • The development of detection and forecast algorithms, methods, and techniques which generate aviation specific information
  • The use of specialized models and data systems to improve the accuracy of detections and forecasts.
NCAR/RAL has supported Civil Aeronautics Administrations (CAAs) and wind shear detection system suppliers in evaluating, specifying, procuring and/or implementing wind shear detection systems in countries such as USA, Taiwan, Singapore, Korea, Kuwait, Spain, Saudi Arabia, Nigeria, Australia, Hong Kong, Italy, Rwanda, and others.

Search through all publications in NCAR's OpenSky Library.

Atmospheric Research and Technology, LLC, 2008: About sodar, Web Reference (

Barron, R., 2004: Overview of the Juneau terrain-induced turbulence and windshear project. Preprints,11th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace, 4-8 October 2004, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Boston, MA.

Bureau of Meteorology, 2008: 2008 Windshear Directive. Bureau of Meteorology, Australian Government.

Caplan, S.J. and A.J. Bedard Jr., 1990: The 700-500 mb lapse rate as an index of microburst probability: An application for thermodynamic profilers. J. of Appl. Meteor., 29, 680-687.

Cho, J.Y.N., R. Hallowell, and M. Weber, 2008. Comparative analysis of terminal wind-shear detection systems. Preprints,13th Conference on Aviation, Range and Aerospace, New Orleans, LA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Boston, MA.

Dixon, M., C. Kessinger, and J. Hubbert, 2006:  Echo classification within the spectral domain to discriminate ground clutter from meteorological targets.  Proceedings, 22nd Conference on IIPS, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Boston, MA,11 pp.

FAA Order 6560,21A, 1989: Siting Guidelines for Low Level Windshear Alert System (LLWAS) Remote Facilities. Federal Aviation Administration, U.S. Department of Transportation.

FAA, 2002: Juneau Airport Wind System (JAWS) Wind Sensor Severe Weather Performance Test Report. U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal Aviation Administration, DOT/FAA/CT-TN02/18.

Geerts, B., 2001: Estimating downburst-related maximum surface wind speeds by means of proximity soundings in New South Wales, Australia.  Weather and Forecasting, 16, 261-269. 

Hubbert, J.C., G. Meymaris, S. Ellis, and M. Dixon, 2006:  Application and issues of SZ phase coding for NEXRAD.  Proceedings, 22nd Conf. on IIPS, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Boston, MA, 14 pp.

ICAO, 2004: Eighth Meeting of the Communications/ Navigation/Surveillance and Meteorology Sub-group (CNS/MET/SG/8) of APANIRG. Bangkok, Thailand. Agenda item 12: Enhancement of the Anemometer-based System for Windshear Detection at the Hong Kong International Airport.

Keohan, C.F., K. Barr, and S.M. Hannon, 2006:  Evaluation of pulsed Lidar wind hazard detection at Las Vegas International Airport.  Proceedings, 12th Conf. on Aviation, Range and Aerospace Meteorology, Amer. Meteor. Soc., Boston, MA, 6 pp.

Keohan, C., 2007:  Ground-based wind shear detection systems have become vital to safe operations.  ICAO Journal, 62 (2), pp. 16-19 and 33-34. 

Kessinger, C., S. Ellis, and J. Van Andel, 2003:  The radar echo classifier:  A fuzzy logic algorithm for the WAR-88D.  Proceedings, , Amer. Meteor. Soc., Boston, MA, 14 pp.

Mahoney, W.P., 1988: Gust front characteristics and the kinematics associated with interacting thunderstorm outflows. Mon. Wea. Rev., 116, 1474-1491.

Mahoney, W. and B. Donaldson, 1997: Automatic wind shear warning system designed to enhance flight safety and operational efficiency. ICAO Journal, January/February 1997.

May, P. T., T.D. Keenan, R. Potts, J.W. Wilson, R. Webb, A. Treloar, E. Spark, S. Lawrence, E. Ebert, J. Bally and P. Joe, 2004: The Sydney 2000 Olympic Games Forecast Demonstration Project: Forecasting, observing network infrastructure, and data processing issues. Weather and Forecasting, 19, 115–130.

McCarthy, J. and R.J. Serafin, 1984: The microburst hazard to aircraft. Weatherwise, 37, 120-127.

Michelson, M., W.W. Shrader, and J.G. Wieler, 1990:  Terminal Doppler Weather Radar.  Microwave Journal, 33 (2), 139-148. 

Miller, D.W., B. Crowe, and J. Shaw, 2002: Operational Experience with TDWR/LLWAS integration at the Dallas, TX International Airport (DFW). Preprints, 10th Conf. on Aviation, Range and Aerospace, 13-16 May, Portland. Amer. Meteor. Soc., Boston, MA.

Siggia, A.D. and R. Passarelli, 2004:  Gaussian model adaptive processing (GMAP) for improved ground clutter cancellation and moment calculation.  Proceedings, Third European Conference on Radar in Meteorology and Hydrology (ERAD), pp. 67-73. 

Shun, C.M. and P. Chan, 2008: Applications of an infrared Doppler lidar in detection of wind shear. J. of Atmos. and Ocean Tech., 25, Amer. Meteor, Soc., 637-655.

Shun, C.M. and D.B. Johnson, 1995: Implementation of a Terminal Doppler Weather Radar for the new Hong Kong International Airport at Chek Lap Kok. Preprints, Sixth Conference on Aviaton Weather Systems, 15-18 January, Dallas.Amer. Meteor. Soc., Boston, MA.

Wakimoto, R.M., 1985: Forecasting dry microburst activity over the High Plains. Mon.  Wea. Rev., 113, 1131-1143.

Wilson, J.W., R.D. Roberts, C. Kessinger, and J. McCarthy, 1984: Microburst wind structure and evaluation of Doppler radar for wind shear detection. J. of Climate Appl. Meteor., 23, 898-915.

Wilson, F.W. and R.H. Gramzow, 1991:  The redesigned Low Level Wind Shear Alert System.  Preprints, Fourth International Conference on the Aviation Weather System, Paris.  Amer. Meteor. Soc., Boston, MA, 370-375.

Convective Wind Shear