Methods For Estimating Radiation Release From Fukushima Daiichi
WORKSHOP CHAIR: DR. PAUL BIERINGER
Wednesday | February 22, 2012 | Mesa Lab - Damon Room
08:00 – 08:30
Continental breakfast
08:30 – 09:00
Welcome and Introduction
Dr. Brant Foote, Scott Swerdlin, and Dr. Paul E. Bieringer
09:00 – 10:20
Session I – Review of Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant Atmospheric Radiation Release and Response
09:00
Introduction of Fukushima Event and Response Session
Dr. Paul E. Bieringer, National Center for Atmospheric Research
09:05
Introduction of Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station Accident
Ms. Tomomi Matsunaga, Kansai Electric Power Company
09:20
The Defense Threat Reduction Agency (DTRA) Operational Response for The Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant Accident
Dr. John Hannan, Defense Threat Reduction Agency
09:40
NARAC Source Reconstruction During the Response to the FukushimaDai-ichi Nuclear Power Plant Emergency
Gayle Sugiyama and John Nasstrom, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
10:00
Session I – Q&A and discussion
10:20 – 10:40
Coffee break
10:40 – 12:00
Session II – Observations from the Fukushima Accident
10:40
Introduction of Fukushima Observations Session
Dr. Paul E. Bieringer, National Center for Atmospheric Research
10:45
Report on a Recent Field Program to Collect Radiation Measurements Surrounding the Fukushima Nuclear Power Station
Dr. Ryohji Ohba, Japan Nuclear Safety Research Association
10:55
Description of Observations Collected around the Fukushima Site by the US DOE Teams*
Dr. Steve Kreek, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
11:15
CTBTO Radionuclide Detections in the Aftermath of the Fukushima Release and a Necessity for Improved Source Inversion Algorithms
Dr. Monika Krysta, Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization – (CTBTO)
11:35
Session II – Q&A and discussion
12:00 – 13:00
Lunch - Mesa Laboratory Cafeteria
13:00 – 16:00
Session III – Methods for Source Term Estimation of Atmospheric Radiation Release
13:00
Introduction of Wednesday STE Methods Session
Dr. Paul E. Bieringer, National Center for Atmospheric Research
13:05
Survey of Estimation Methods for Amount of Radioactive Materials Emitted from the Nuclear Power Station During Severe Accident
Dr. Ryohji Ohba, Japan Nuclear Safety Research Association
13:15
Source Term Estimation and Atmospheric Dispersion Simulations of Radioactive Materials Discharged from the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant due to Accident
Dr. Haruyasu Nagai, Japan Atomic Energy Agency
13:45
Development of an Estimation Method for the Amount of Radioactive Materials Emitted from the Nuclear Power Station During the Severe Accident
Dr. Ryohji Ohba, Japan Nuclear Safety Research Association
14:15
Back-trajectory Based Methods for Source Parameter Estimation
Dr. Andrew Annunzio, National Center for Atmospheric Research
14:30
Coffee break
14:45
Source Term Estimation for the 2011 Fukushima Nuclear Accident
Dr. Guido Cervone, George Mason University
15:05
Polynomial Chaos Based Minimum Variance Approach for Characterization of Source Parameters
Dr. Tarun Singh, State University of New York at Buffalo
15:25
Estimation of Errors in Inverse Modeling of Accidental Release of Atmospheric Pollutant: Application to the Reconstruction of the Cesium- 137 and Iodine-131 Source Terms from the Fukushima Daiichi Power Plant
Dr. Marc Bocquet, University of Paris
15:45
Session III – Q&A and discussion
16:00 – 17:00
NCAR Tour
17:00
Adjourn
19:00
No host dinner
Thursday | February 23, 2012 | Mesa Lab - Damon Room
08:00 – 08:30
Continental breakfast
08:30 – 10:00
Session IV – Methods for Source Term Estimation of Atmospheric Radiation Release (Continued)
08:30
Introduction of Thursday STE Methods Session
Dr. Paul E. Bieringer, National Center for Atmospheric Research
08:35
A Survey of Evolutionary and Probabilistic Approaches to the Estimation of Sources for Atmospheric Releases of Contaminants
Dr. Branko Kosovic, National Center for Atmospheric Research
08:55
Estimation of Source Parameters for Hazard Releases
Dr. Gareth Brown, UK Defense Science and Technology Laboratory (DSTL)
09:15
An Adjoint Approach for the Estimation of Source Terms for Atmospheric Releases
Luna Rodriguez, National Center for Atmospheric Research
09:35
Session IV – Q&A and discussion
10:00 – 10:15
Coffee break
10:15 – 11:30
Session V – Atmospheric Data Assimilation, Modeling, and Relevant Physical Processes
Dr. Paul E. Bieringer, National Center for Atmospheric Research
10:15
Introduction to Atmospheric Modeling and Physical Processes Session
10:20
Mesoscale Modeling and Data assimilation for Atmospheric Transport and Fate of Radioactive Materials
Dr. Yubao Liu, National Center for Atmospheric Research
10:40
Modeling the Physical Processes that Impact the Fate and Fall-out of Radioactive Materials
Van Ramsdell, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
11:00
Session V – Q&A and discussion
11:30 – 13:00
Lunch - Mesa Laboratory Cafeteria
13:00 – 14:45
Session VI – Session Break-out Groups
13:00
Introduction to Break-out Group Session
Dr. Paul E. Bieringer, National Center for Atmospheric Research
13:05
Discussions on topics presented in previous sessions
designated facilitators will facilitate discussion, prepare, and present reports
Break-out group discussion (each group will consist of about 4-8 members)
Define current state of the topic
• Identify and prioritize gaps
• Suggest path forward
• Break-out group report preparation
group discussion facilitators prepare reports with help from group members
14:45 – 15:00
Coffee break
15:00 – 17:00
Session VII – Plenary Session with Reports from Break-out Sessions
15:00
Session I Break-out Session Report/Presentation
15:15
Session II Break-out Session Report/Presentation
15:30
Session III Break-out Session Report/Presentation
15:45
Session IV Break-out Session Report/Presentation
16:00
Session V Break-out Session Report/Presentation
16:15
Plenary session Q&A and discussion
17:00
Adjourn
19:00
No host dinner
Session VIII – Poster Sessions
Posters will be available for viewing and discussion during all of the session coffee and lunch breaks. The posters will also be included in the break-out session discussions.
P1.
Radiological Source Characterization Using L1 norm Minimization
Dr. Tarun Singh, State University of New York at Buffalo
P2.
Application of the HYSPLIT Model for Source Term Estimation
Lori Mandable, George Mason University
Friday | February 24, 2012 | Mesa Lab - Damon Room
08:00 – 08:30
Continental Breakfast
8:30 – 12:00
Session IX – Science and Steering Committee Meeting
8:30
Post workshop science committee break-out meeting
10:30
Break
10:45
Post workshop science committee break-out meeting
12:00
Meeting Adjourned and Lunch